empty
02.05.2023 10:40 AM
Bitcoin drops to $27k amid high volatility of the crypto market: will the correction continue?

Bitcoin managed to increase its capitalization by 3% in April, but the cryptocurrency is starting May on a bearish note. At the end of yesterday's trading day, the digital asset formed a large red candle, indicating the dominance of sellers in the market. BTC broke through the important accumulation level of $28.5k.

This image is no longer relevant

The asset continues its downward movement, and among the nearest targets, it is worth highlighting the levels of $27k and $28k. The bulls failed to develop an impulsive growth last week into a full-fledged bullish trend, causing the price to turn towards the lower boundary of the range.

Volatility and the Fed meeting

The main reason for the local dominance of bears in this segment of BTC's price movement is the growing level of volatility. Although the bulls also had high potential, an unsuccessful retest of the $30k level strengthened the sellers' positions, and the price went to retest the lower boundary of the channel.

This image is no longer relevant

The volatility surge was triggered by the approaching publication of important economic statistics in the U.S. Among the key dates is May 3, when the Federal Reserve will decide the U.S. dollar interest rate. As of May 1, the rate was 5%, and financial markets are confident in a 0.25% increase.

This image is no longer relevant

If the data turns out to be better than expected, the U.S. dollar will strengthen, while Bitcoin and high-risk assets will continue to decline. Markets are pricing in an 85%+ probability of a rate hike, so the current decline in BTC is a preliminary reaction to tomorrow's events. A similar situation occurred in April, but the cryptocurrency slightly increased in price at that time.

This image is no longer relevant

In addition to the key rate, important data on the U.S. labor market will be published this week. The institution remains resistant to rate hikes, which gives the Fed leeway for further increases, negatively affecting BTC. If unemployment and the number of job openings increase, Bitcoin will receive a "boost" as weakness in the labor market will put pressure on the Federal Reserve.

BTC/USD Analysis

On April 30, Bitcoin touched the $30k level for the last time, after which the asset moved into a correction phase. Over the past two days, BTC has fallen to the $27k level due to the activation of sellers and a significant increase in trading volumes. An important factor in the downward movement is also the negative sentiment in the market.

This image is no longer relevant

As of April 2, the price of the cryptocurrency reached the level of $28k, where local consolidation is taking place. The bears managed to stab the $27.7k level, but subsequently, the price returned above $28k. The lower wick of the red candle indicates buying activity near the $27.7k level.

This image is no longer relevant

Despite the local buyout, the situation is completely controlled by the bears. Technical metrics point to a further decline in the price: RSI and stochastic continue to move lower below the 40 level. MACD has also resumed its decline and is in danger of falling into the red zone, which will be a clear bearish signal.

This image is no longer relevant

Bitcoin will likely continue its downward movement, as the past correction allowed investors to gather liquidity below $27k. Given this, the $26k–$27k area will become the key target of this stage of decline. At the same time, a new stage of price decline may occur when the Federal Reserve makes its final decision.

Conclusion

Bitcoin rushes from the upper to the lower limit of the $25k–$30k fluctuation range due to high volatility. The asset tested the $30k level, which indicates a price decline below the $27k level. At the same time, the $25k level is key for building a bullish trend, so the current correction should be perceived as an opportunity to average positions, remove liquidity and prepare for a second assault of $30k.

Artem Petrenko,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Bitcoin Targets $85,000

Interest in Bitcoin remains strong, as any normal downward movement is quickly bought up by large players. The fact that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have resumed recording net inflows also

Jakub Novak 10:49 2025-03-19 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on March 19

Bitcoin and Ethereum faced challenges again after a recent sell-off on the U.S. stock market, but buyers and major players once again showed their strength, purchasing all downward movements

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:01 2025-03-19 UTC+2

BTC/USD Analysis – March 18th: Bitcoin Prepares for Growth, but the Risk of Collapse Remains

The 4-hour wave structure for BTC/USD appears clear and well-defined. After completing a five-wave bullish trend, a bearish phase began, which currently resembles a corrective pattern. Based on this

Chin Zhao 09:47 2025-03-18 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on March 18

Bitcoin and Ethereum buyers attempted to achieve more significant growth, and for a moment, the bullish market might gain hope for a return. However, they could not hold the achieved

Miroslaw Bawulski 08:00 2025-03-18 UTC+2

Bitcoin and Ethereum struggling to stay afloat

Bitcoin and Ethereum carry on with their efforts to grow, despite encountering difficulties each time. Nevertheless, the chances of a return to a bullish market remain quite high. After

Jakub Novak 09:32 2025-03-17 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on March 17

Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to consolidate within their respective channels, allowing for the expectation of a continued bullish market. However, several technical factors must be met for this to happen

Miroslaw Bawulski 08:04 2025-03-17 UTC+2

Another Consolidation Before a Drop

Bitcoin and Ethereum continue their attempts to rise, but each time they face obstacles, suggesting that this is more of a consolidation phase within an ongoing bearish correction rather than

Jakub Novak 12:25 2025-03-14 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on March 14

Bitcoin and Ethereum are currently consolidating within channels, creating conditions that may lead to further declines. While many experts agree that the lows have already been reached and an unstoppable

Miroslaw Bawulski 08:20 2025-03-14 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Uniswap Cryptocurrency, Friday March 14, 2025.

From what is seen on the 4-hour chart of the Uniswap cryptocurrency, although currently still under pressure, is indicated by its price movement moving below the EMA (21) which

Arief Makmur 07:03 2025-03-14 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Doge Cryptocurrency, Friday March 14, 2025.

With the appearance of Convergence between the price movement of the Doge cryptocurrency and the Stochastic Oscillator indicator, it gives an indication that in the near future Doge

Arief Makmur 07:03 2025-03-14 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.