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30.12.2024 05:09 AM
2024年12月30日歐元/美元預測

隨著新年的到來,外匯市場保持相對穩定,但各大金融市場中也出現了潛在的美元強勁反彈跡象。一個關鍵指標是近日股市的下滑;上週五,S&P 500指數下跌1.11%。我們預期股市指數將大幅下跌,這也有可能影響到非美元貨幣。

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今天,日本製造業PMI從49.0上升至12月的估計值49.6,這表明今日的芝加哥PMI也很有可能顯示出增長(預期為42.7,相較於11月的40.2)。鑑於此,歐元上漲的可能性似乎不大。

此外,歐元/美元貨幣對目前在1.0461處面臨強烈的技術阻力。Marlin振盪器已經達到零線並正在向下轉,這表明在一月初有人預期突破1.0350的支撐位。

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在H4圖表上,價格已達到MACD線,並且也開始轉向下行,表示一旦條件合適,就正在為下行突破做準備。Marlin震盪指標正在下行區域的臨界線上方盤整。我們預計今天或明天不會有顯著的波動。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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