empty
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Key documents
Social Responsibility
10.12.2024 01:13 PM
EUR/USD. December 10: Bulls Have Exhausted Their Potential
Open trading account Open demo account

On Monday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the 323.6% retracement level at 1.0532, showed some growth, and then returned to the same level. A new rebound from this level today could lead to another rise in the euro, but a close below it seems more likely, with further declines toward the 1.0420 level. Bulls are losing market momentum, though their grip was weak to begin with.

This image is no longer relevant

The wave structure is straightforward. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the last upward wave barely broke the previous peak. As a result, the pair has started forming a "bullish" trend, which appears weak and may end this week. A drop below 1.0461 would invalidate the current "bullish" trend.

There was no significant news on Monday, but several key factors this week could trigger a new dollar rally:

  1. The "bullish" trend is unconvincing, with each upward wave barely exceeding the previous one by a few points.
  2. The "bullish" waves are generally weak.
  3. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates this week.
  4. The Federal Reserve might keep rates unchanged in December.
  5. The daily chart shows a "bearish" trend.

Based on these factors, I believe the bulls have tried but failed. A new decline in the pair and a corresponding dollar rally are likely. Tomorrow's U.S. inflation report could influence this scenario, but I think even low inflation won't strengthen the bulls significantly. Weak inflation might work against the dollar, but at most, it could trigger another unconvincing "bullish" wave while the "bearish" trend remains intact.

This image is no longer relevant

On the 4-hour chart, the pair rebounded twice from the 100.0% retracement level at 1.0603, initiating a new decline toward the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.0436. A "bearish" divergence on the CCI indicator also supports downward movement. Consolidation above 1.0603 would allow for continued growth toward the next retracement level at 76.4% (1.0747), but my main scenario is further declines.

Commitments of Traders (COT) Report

This image is no longer relevant

During the last reporting week, speculators opened 11,359 long positions and 12,839 short positions. The sentiment among the "Non-commercial" group remains "bearish," indicating further declines for the pair. The total number of long positions held by speculators now stands at 168,000, while short positions total 225,000.

For 12 consecutive weeks, major players have been reducing their exposure to the euro. This suggests the formation of a new "bearish" trend. The primary driver of the dollar's decline—expectations of FOMC monetary policy easing—has already played out. The market no longer has a compelling reason to sell off the dollar, and the dollar's rise remains more likely. Graphical analysis also supports the start of a long-term "bearish" trend. As such, I am preparing for an extended decline in the EUR/USD pair.

Economic Calendar for the U.S. and Eurozone

  • Eurozone: Consumer Price Index (07:00 UTC).

On December 10, the economic calendar contains only one significant entry. The informational background's impact on market sentiment may be minimal.

Forecast and Trading Tips for EUR/USD

  • Selling: New sales could have been initiated after a rebound from the 1.0603 level on the 4-hour chart, targeting 1.0420 and 1.0320. These positions can now be held, waiting for a close below 1.0532 on the hourly chart.
  • Buying: Long positions could have been considered after a rebound from 1.0532 on the hourly chart. However, Monday's session demonstrated that bears are stronger than bulls.

Fibonacci Levels:Fibonacci levels are drawn from 1.1003–1.1214 on the hourly chart and from 1.0603–1.1214 on the 4-hour chart.

Samir Klishi,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Forecast
USD/JPY: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on March 14th (U.S. Session) The 148.72 price test occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero level, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason
Jakub Novak
17:50 2025-03-14 +02:00
2380
Forecast
GBP/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on March 14th (U.S. Session) The 1.2934 price test coincided with the MACD indicator beginning its downward movement from the zero level, confirming the validity of the entry point. As a result, the pair declined
Jakub Novak
17:02 2025-03-14 +02:00
2260
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

EUR/USD: March 14th. Bears Make Weak Attempts

On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair continued its decline and consolidated below the 200.0% corrective level at 1.0857. This suggests that the downward movement could extend toward the next support zone
Samir Klishi 14:29 2025-03-14 UTC+2

GBP/USD: March 14th. UK Economic Data Fails to Impress

On the hourly chart, GBP/USD retraced to 1.2931 on Thursday, where bearish momentum faded. Another test of this level occurred today, but overall, the pound has been moving sideways over
Samir Klishi 11:06 2025-03-14 UTC+2

Forex forecast 14/03/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, Gold and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful
Sebastian Seliga 09:51 2025-03-14 UTC+2

EUR/USD and GBP/USD March 14 – Technical Analysis

As the week comes to a close, bullish players have tested the upper boundaries of the Ichimoku clouds, with the monthly level at 1.0943 and the weekly level at 1.0948
Evangelos Poulakis 07:22 2025-03-14 UTC+2

EUR/USD Forecast for March 14, 2025

The euro has been declining for the third consecutive day, starting from Friday's drop, as it seeks support for consolidation or correction. During this correction, a pullback could extend down
Laurie Bailey 03:53 2025-03-14 UTC+2

GBP/USD Forecast for March 14, 2025

On Wednesday, the British pound fell by 12 pips, causing the Marlin oscillator's signal line to drop below the support level of 0.0216. This raises the chances of the price
Laurie Bailey 03:53 2025-03-14 UTC+2

USD/JPY Forecast for March 14, 2025

The Marlin oscillator's signal line is rising within its ascending channel and is approaching the transition into positive territory. Signs of a deep correction are emerging, which could lead
Laurie Bailey 03:53 2025-03-14 UTC+2

Trading Signals for EUR/USD for March 13-15, 2025: sell below 1.0881 (+1/8 Murray - 21 SMA)

Early in the American session, the euro is trading around 1.0865, below the 21-month SMA, and below the 1/8 Murray level, showing signs of exhaustion. A technical correction is expected
Dimitrios Zappas 14:00 2025-03-13 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for March 13-15, 2025: sell below $2,950 (21 SMA - 8/8 Murray)

Early in the American session, gold is trading around 2946, close to the all-time high of 2,956 and above the 7/8 Murray level, albeit showing signs of exhaustion. A technical
Dimitrios Zappas 13:49 2025-03-13 UTC+2

EUR/USD. March 13th. Bulls Are Tired of Playing Along with Trump

On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair continued a very weak decline after rebounding from the 1.0944 level. This morning, it reached the 200.0% corrective level at 1.0857. A rebound from this
Samir Klishi 11:18 2025-03-13 UTC+2

Top analytics

Relevance up to 11:00 UTC--4
Euro Faces a Potential Coup d'Etat
00:45 2025-03-14
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 08:00 2025-03-27 UTC--4
Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for March 13-15, 2025: sell below $2,950 (21 SMA - 8/8 Murray)
14:49 2025-03-13
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 09:00 2025-03-27 UTC--4
Trading Signals for EUR/USD for March 13-15, 2025: sell below 1.0881 (+1/8 Murray - 21 SMA)
15:00 2025-03-13
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 02:00 2025-03-17 UTC--4
US stock market: NASDAQ and SP500 going through correction, 10% down from their historic highs
11:53 2025-03-14
Stock Markets
Relevance up to 04:00 2025-03-17 UTC--4
A New Problem Rises for America – The Debt Ceiling (Expecting #SPX and #NDX to Resume Their Decline After a Likely Short-Term Recovery)
15:06 2025-03-14
Fundamental analysis
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.