empty
24.02.2025 05:49 AM
British Pound: Weekly Preview

This image is no longer relevant

The pound continues to hold confidence and market support. Unlike the euro, demand for the British currency is rising more steadily, and the corrective wave C in 2 has already taken a convincing shape. However, given that both currencies often move in a similar dynamic, I do not expect a decline in the pound unless the euro starts to weaken first.

The fundamental backdrop in the UK has been strong over the past two weeks, but now the momentum may slow down. The economic calendar for the upcoming week is empty, meaning there will be no significant UK reports apart from a few speeches from Bank of England members. As a result, GBP/USD will be influenced primarily by U.S. data, which itself is not particularly eventful, and general market sentiment.

In recent weeks, demand for the pound has increased not only due to solid UK reports but also without strong fundamental justification at times. However, this behavior can be explained. The latest UK inflation report not only confirmed rising inflation but also significantly reduced the likelihood of four rate cuts by the BoE this year. The euro lacks such support from the ECB, which explains why the pound has shown stronger resilience compared to the euro.

This image is no longer relevant

Wave Analysis for EUR/USD

Based on wave analysis, EUR/USD continues to form a downward trend segment. The first wave of this segment appears strong and complete, suggesting that we should expect a three-wave or more complex corrective structure, where new selling opportunities can be sought at the highest points.

I anticipate a convincing wave C within wave 2, but this wave may take a shortened form. An alternative scenario would be a five-wave structure within wave 2.

This image is no longer relevant

Wave Analysis for GBP/USD

The wave structure of GBP/USD suggests that the downtrend is still developing, with its first wave already completed. The next step is to wait for a clear corrective pattern before looking for new short-selling opportunities.

The minimum correction targets are around 1.26 (already reached), while a more optimistic outlook suggests a move toward 1.28. Even at current levels, selling opportunities can be considered since wave C is nearing completion. However, it would be more prudent to wait for confirmation signals, which traders may interpret differently.

Key Principles of My Analysis

  1. Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex patterns are difficult to trade and often change.
  2. If market conditions are unclear, it is better to stay out.
  3. No direction is ever 100% certain—always use Stop Loss orders.
  4. Wave analysis can be combined with other analytical approaches and trading strategies.
Chin Zhao,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold is attracting some sellers for the second day in a row, despite the absence of any clear fundamental catalyst for a decline. Most likely, this is due to trading

Irina Yanina 11:50 2025-04-04 UTC+2

The Growth of the Gold Price Has Stopped. What Is the Reason? (There Is a Possibility of a Local Corrective Pullback in #SPX and Bitcoin)

The global market crash triggered by the announcement of sweeping tariffs personally introduced by the U.S. President continues into Asian trading sessions. While the decline has slowed, there is still

Pati Gani 09:09 2025-04-04 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on April 4? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Only a few macroeconomic events are scheduled for Friday, but they may trigger a new storm. The market has not yet recovered from Wednesday evening's events when Trump imposed trade

Paolo Greco 07:29 2025-04-04 UTC+2

GBP/USD Pair Overview – April 4: Does Anyone Still Care About Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment?

The GBP/USD currency pair posted a 300-pip upward move from Wednesday evening through Thursday. Given the current situation, this may not end the dollar's decline. To be honest, the fall

Paolo Greco 06:07 2025-04-04 UTC+2

EUR/USD Pair Overview – 4: Trump's Tariffs Crash the Dollar Once Again

The EUR/USD currency pair gained nearly 300 pips between Wednesday and Thursday. We saw a repeat of the situation in early March when the U.S. dollar fell by 400 pips

Paolo Greco 06:06 2025-04-04 UTC+2

The Dollar Shot Itself in the Foot

Don't create a problem for someone else; you might get caught in it yourself. Donald Trump sought to leverage the United States' leading position in the global economy by announcing

Marek Petkovich 00:50 2025-04-04 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Nonfarm Payrolls and the Greenback

Can strong Nonfarm Payrolls help the dollar? This question is complicated, as the market is currently too shaken by Donald Trump's new tariffs. Traditional fundamental factors have been pushed into

Irina Manzenko 00:46 2025-04-04 UTC+2

USD/JPY – Analysis and Forecast

The Japanese yen is showing strong gains amid broad-based selling of the U.S. dollar, keeping the USD/JPY pair below the key psychological level of 147.00. Investor concerns over the potential

Irina Yanina 18:22 2025-04-03 UTC+2

Markets enter warpath

Donald Trump confidently speaks about America's return to its Golden Age. From his viewpoint, it's time for America to prosper, rather than other countries. However, why does the US president

Marek Petkovich 10:49 2025-04-03 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.