empty
17.04.2023 11:46 AM
Bitcoin holds positions near $30k: Should a correction be expected?

Bitcoin ended the previous trading week near the $30k level. The asset was in a consolidation phase with trading volumes below the $20 billion level. Despite this, BTC confidently held above $29.5k, which may indicate the formation of volumes for the next upward spurt.

After three weeks, it's safe to say that Bitcoin has formed a strong support zone near the $28.5k level. Also, the asset worked through a broad resistance area, where active accumulation took place at the end of May 2022.

This image is no longer relevant

However, the asset failed to reach the upper limit of the resistance area. Given the consolidation of BTC within the difficult level, we should expect further upward movement to finally work out this range and collect the final cascade of liquidity above $32.5k.

Bitcoin and the fundamental background

The last week passed for the financial markets under the sign of intensifying deflationary movement. Investment activity against the backdrop of such news significantly increased, but statements from the Fed cooled the market players' enthusiasm.

This image is no longer relevant

As a result, BBG reports that markets are pricing in a 90% probability of a 0.25% key rate hike by the end of May. With the Fed halting/suspending its stimulus program for the banking system, a rate hike could be painful for the crypto market and the fund.

This image is no longer relevant

The stock market continues to maintain a correlation with cryptocurrencies through similar patterns of movement of BTC and SPX. At the same time, the crypto market is doing much better, as BoFA said that investors should stay away from stocks, since the U.S. economy is expecting a recession in the next 12 months.

This image is no longer relevant

Swiss bank Credit Suisse also said it estimates the probability of a U.S. recession over the next 12 months at 80%. Also, do not forget about the upcoming reporting season, which promises to be pessimistic.

Bitcoin finds itself

Despite the stock market's co-dependence on cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and other coins are perceived as a profitable form of investment. Santiment notes that investor interest in the altcoin market has significantly increased after ETH reached the $2,000 mark.

This image is no longer relevant

At the same time, Glassnode points out that the illiquid supply of BTC has reached an 8-year record level – 78%. This is a bullish signal, indicating the desire of long-term investors to continue accumulating BTC coins. Analysts confirm that recently, BTC's growth depends on the increase in stablecoin volumes in the market.

This image is no longer relevant

And here we come to a signal that may indicate the beginning of a correction in the crypto market. The key stablecoin in the market continues to be USDT. The price of BTC rose parallel to Tether's inflow of stablecoins into the market.

However, last week we saw USDT break the support level. At the same time, BTC updated its high at $30k, but unlike the cryptocurrency, the dominance of the stablecoin continues to decline. This may indicate a gradual exhaustion of Bitcoin's upward potential.

This image is no longer relevant

Despite this probability, Bitcoin has every chance to continue its upward movement to the $31.2k level, where the local fibo level of 1.618 passes. At the same time, technical metrics on the daily chart indicate a downward movement, but the situation may change with the opening of U.S. markets.

This image is no longer relevant

Also, BTC needs to continue its upward movement to the $32.5k level, where the final accumulation line from May 2022 passes. Also, certain volumes have appeared at this level over the past few weeks. However, it is too early to talk about a breakdown of $32.5k, since the asset did not reach the $31.2k level.

Results

Bitcoin is approaching the completion of the local stage of the upward movement, which will be followed by a corrective movement. Certain fundamental prerequisites, as well as the passivity of long-term holders point to a high probability of such a scenario. However, before that, a final bullish chord to the $31.2k and $32.5k levels awaits us.

Artem Petrenko,
InstaForex के विश्लेषणात्मक विशेषज्ञ
© 2007-2025
समय सीमा चुनें
5
मिनट
15
मिनट
30
मिनट
1
घंटा
4
घंटे
1
दिन
1
सप्ताह
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    कॉन्टेस्ट में हिस्सा लें

अनुशंसित लेख

21 मार्च को क्रिप्टोकरेंसी बाज़ार के लिए ट्रेडिंग अनुशंसाएँ

बिटकॉइन और एथेरियम ने एक बार फिर प्रमुख प्रतिरोध स्तरों को पार करने के लिए संघर्ष किया, जिससे इन परिसंपत्तियों में अल्पकालिक वृद्धि की प्रवृत्ति को रोका जा सका। साप्ताहिक

Miroslaw Bawulski 17:56 2025-03-21 UTC+2

रिपल क्रिप्टोकरेंसी की इंट्राडे प्राइस मूवमेंट का तकनीकी विश्लेषण, शुक्रवार, 21 मार्च, 2025।

अगर हम रिपल क्रिप्टोकरेंसी के 4 घंटे के चार्ट को देखें, तो वहां रिपल की मूल्य चाल और स्टोकास्टिक ऑस्सीलेटर इंडिकेटर के बीच विचलन (डाइवर्जेंस) दिखाई देता है और उसके

Arief Makmur 07:26 2025-03-21 UTC+2

बिटकॉइन क्रिप्टोकरेंसी की इंट्राडे प्राइस मूवमेंट का तकनीकी विश्लेषण, शुक्रवार, 21 मार्च, 2025।

स्टोकास्टिक ऑस्सीलेटर इंडिकेटर के साथ बिटकॉइन की मूल्य चालों में विचलन (डाइवर्जेंस) और बुलिश 123 पैटर्न के बाद बुलिश रॉस हुक (RH) पैटर्न के दिखाई देने के साथ, निकट भविष्य

Arief Makmur 07:23 2025-03-21 UTC+2

20 मार्च को क्रिप्टोकरेंसी बाजार के लिए ट्रेडिंग सिफारिशें

बिटकॉइन और एथेरियम ने कल के फेडरल रिजर्व की बैठक के बाद उछाल का अनुभव किया, जिसमें संकेत दिया गया कि ब्याज दरों को घटाने की आवश्यकता हो सकती है।

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:00 2025-03-20 UTC+2

19 मार्च को क्रिप्टोकरेंसी बाजार के लिए व्यापारिक सिफारिशें

बिटकॉइन और एथेरियम को फिर से अमेरिकी स्टॉक बाजार में हालिया बिक्री के बाद चुनौतियों का सामना करना पड़ा, लेकिन खरीदारों और प्रमुख खिलाड़ियों ने फिर से अपनी ताकत दिखाई

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:22 2025-03-19 UTC+2

18 मार्च के लिए क्रिप्टोकरेंसी बाजार के ट्रेडिंग सुझाव

बिटकॉइन और एथेरियम खरीदारों ने अधिक महत्वपूर्ण वृद्धि हासिल करने का प्रयास किया, और कुछ समय के लिए बुलिश बाजार को वापसी की उम्मीद मिल सकती थी। हालांकि, वे प्राप्त

Miroslaw Bawulski 12:18 2025-03-18 UTC+2

BTC/USD विश्लेषण – 18 मार्च: बिटकॉइन वृद्धि के लिए तैयार, लेकिन गिरावट का जोखिम बना हुआ है।

BTC/USD के लिए 4-घंटे की वेव संरचना स्पष्ट और सुव्यवस्थित दिख रही है। पांच-वेव की बुलिश प्रवृत्ति पूरी करने के बाद, एक बेरिश चरण शुरू हुआ, जो वर्तमान में

Chin Zhao 12:08 2025-03-18 UTC+2

17 मार्च के लिए क्रिप्टोकरेंसी बाजार में ट्रेडिंग सिफारिशें

For now, there are several positive signs for the bullish market. First, whales have begun cautiously accumulating BTC since last Thursday, according to data from Santiment. This careful approach

Miroslaw Bawulski 11:15 2025-03-17 UTC+2

बिटकॉइन और एथेरियम टिके रहने के लिए संघर्ष कर रहे हैं

बिटकॉइन और एथेरियम कठिनाइयों का सामना करते हुए भी वृद्धि के प्रयास जारी रखे हुए हैं। इसके बावजूद, बुलिश बाजार में वापसी की संभावना अभी भी काफी अधिक बनी हुई

Jakub Novak 10:58 2025-03-17 UTC+2

बिटकॉइन और एथेरियम खरीदारों को नियंत्रण प्राप्त करने में संघर्ष करना पड़ रहा है।

बिटकॉइन सप्ताह की शुरुआत में बड़े बिकवाली के बाद अपनी रिकवरी जारी रखे हुए है। हालांकि, कल साप्ताहिक उच्च स्तर को तोड़ने में विफलता शॉर्ट-टर्म बुलिश दृष्टिकोण पर संदेह उत्पन्न

Jakub Novak 10:36 2025-03-13 UTC+2
अभी बात नहीं कर सकते?
अपना प्रश्न पूछें बातचीत.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.