empty
23.01.2024 02:53 PM
Bitcoin made a downward breakdown of the $40k level: will the fall continue?

More than a week has passed since the spot BTC-ETF approval and the local high update. During this time, the price of the cryptocurrency has decreased from $48.9k to $40k due to the unloading of portfolios by various categories of investors. This process began last week, but due to optimistic sentiments, buyers could maintain balance and absorb the free volumes of BTC.

This image is no longer relevant

However, the pace of sales significantly intensified, including those by institutional investors and miners. Concurrently, financial markets began to realize that a quick easing of monetary policy is not anticipated due to persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions. Considering these factors, Bitcoin's quotes continued to decline, and by January 22, the cryptocurrency made a bearish breakthrough of the $40k level.

Will the decline continue?

It's still early to say that the breakdown of the $40k level will be a prelude to another collapse in Bitcoin quotes. Before making any conclusions, it is necessary to wait for the end of the current trading day, when this fall may be recovered. However, the $40k level is extremely important, both from the point of view of the key support zone of the upward trend and psychologically. A breakdown and final consolidation below $40k may lead to a new wave of sales and, as a consequence, a deeper correction.

This image is no longer relevant

At the same time, analysts at Santiment note that large wallets are not resuming the accumulation of BTC or stablecoins. Without clear signals for the start of this process, one should not count on the resumption of a stable bullish rally. However, it is reported that individual large players continue to purchase BTC. Over the past day, BlackRock bought another 4,800 BTC, increasing the number of coins in its balance to 33,430 units.

This image is no longer relevant

The situation is complicated by publications in the media, where it was announced that Grayscale decided to sell BTC for $2.8 billion immediately after the approval of the spot BTC-ETF. Fundamental factors are also a significant reason for investors to refrain from buying cryptocurrency and to pay attention to the U.S. dollar and Treasury bonds. As of January 23, there are many more rational arguments in the market indicating the continuation of the downward movement of Bitcoin's price.

BTC/USD Analysis

As of January 22, Bitcoin formed a large bearish candle after consolidation and several attempts to break through the $40.5k level. Ultimately, the key support zone fell, which means that the structure of the upward trend, which began in October 2023, is under threat. Technically, Bitcoin continues to be at the support level, but if the trading day ends below the $40k level, the likelihood of further decline will significantly increase.

This image is no longer relevant

Technical metrics do not show signs of buyer activation; on the contrary, they signal complete seller dominance. The Stochastic continues its downward movement in the oversold zone, and the MACD has entered the red zone, indicating total bearish dominance. If successfully consolidated below $40k and further downward movement ensues, bears will head to the next support zone near the $38k level, where there was a prolonged period of accumulation.

This image is no longer relevant

Despite the pessimism, one cannot rule out the possibility that the breakdown of the $40k level was necessary to collect liquidity, which reached $150 million. Therefore, there is a possibility of a pump in the BTC/USD price above $40k. In addition, it should not be forgotten that important macroeconomic statistics about the labor market and business activity in the U.S. are expected. These events can also bring back optimism to the cryptocurrency market and strengthen buying sentiments.

Conclusions

The current trading day could be decisive in determining the future trajectory of Bitcoin's price movement. If BTC/USD consolidates below $40k, the likelihood of a downward movement to $38k and lower will significantly increase. However, if the bulls turn the situation around and restore BTC above $40k, it could bring back confidence in Bitcoin's bullish trend and increase the volumes of purchases necessary to complete the correction.

Pilih carta masa
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Cadangan Dagangan untuk Pasaran Mata Wang Kripto pada 11 April

Bitcoin dan Ethereum mengalami penurunan nilai menjelang penutupan sesi Amerika Syarikat pada hari Khamis tetapi pulih semula semasa waktu dagangan Asia hari ini. Adalah menjadi kebiasaan bahawa pasaran kripto menurun

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:28 2025-04-11 UTC+2

Analisis Teknikal Pergerakan Harga Harian Cryptocurrency Polkadot, Jumaat 11 April 2025

Apabila berlaku perbezaan antara pergerakan harga mata wang kripto Polkadot dan penunjuk Stochastic Oscillator pada carta 4 jamnya, selagi tiada pembetulan kelemahan yang menembusi dan ditutup di bawah tahap 3.2460

Arief Makmur 08:52 2025-04-11 UTC+2

Analisis Teknikal Pergerakan Harga Intraday Matawang Kripto Uniswap, Jumaat 11 April 2025.

Berdasarkan apa yang diperhatikan pada carta 4 jam bagi mata wang kripto Uniswap, terdapat perbezaan (divergence) antara pergerakan harga Uniswap dan penunjuk Pengayun Stochastic. Maka, berdasarkan isyarat ini, dalam masa

Arief Makmur 08:52 2025-04-11 UTC+2

Cadangan Dagangan untuk Pasaran Kriptowang pada 10 April

Bitcoin dan Ethereum kedua-duanya melonjak, meningkat antara 6% hingga 10% selepas berita bahawa Trump tiba-tiba mengubah pendiriannya. Gelombang FOMO yang kuat jelas terlihat dalam BTC selepas berita tentang jeda

Miroslaw Bawulski 08:05 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Bitcoin di bawah tekanan jualan. Mengapa kenaikan mendadak pun sukar menyelamatkan pasaran Menaik

Bitcoin sedang mengalami kejatuhan mendadak, dana melaporkan kerugian, dan penganalisis tidak melihat sebarang sebab untuk pertumbuhan. Apakah yang sedang berlaku dengan peneraju pasaran kripto? Apa yang perlu dilakukan dalam situasi

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:07 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Cadangan Dagangan untuk Pasaran Matawang Kripto pada 9 April

Bitcoin dan Ethereum mengalami kejatuhan pada penghujung hari Selasa, meneruskan penjualan besar-besaran semasa sesi dagangan Asia hari ini. Penurunan mendadak lain dalam pasaran saham Amerika Syarikat turut menyeret aset berisiko

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:22 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Satu Lagi Kejatuhan Pasaran Mata Wang Kripto.

Satu lagi kejatuhan di pasaran saham turut memberi kesan kepada pasaran mata wang kripto. Pelabur, yang takut akan penurunan lebih lanjut, mula secara besar-besaran melepaskan aset digital, yang mencetuskan penurunan

Jakub Novak 09:22 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Cadangan Dagangan untuk Pasaran Mata Wang Kripto pada 8 April

Bitcoin dan Ethereum secara beransur-ansur pulih selepas penjualan mendadak awal minggu ini. Situasi di pasaran saham AS dan penurunannya yang mendadak mempunyai kaitan rapat dengan kejatuhan pasaran mata wang kripto

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:25 2025-04-08 UTC+2

Bitcoin – Tinjauan Analisis Teknikal

Pada masa ini, pasaran sedang menguji tahap sokongan bulanan pada 79,773 – 75,446. Pengukuhan di bawah kawasan ini akan memberi kawalan kepada penjual ke atas tahap tersebut dan membatalkan Ichimoku

Evangelos Poulakis 07:36 2025-04-08 UTC+2

Cadangan Dagangan untuk Pasaran Mata Wang Kripto pada 4 April

Bitcoin dan Ethereum sekali lagi berjaya menahan tekanan yang ketara, yang dikenakan ke atas kedua-duanya semalam pada penghujung hari susulan kejatuhan besar dalam pasaran saham AS — sebuah pasaran yang

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:09 2025-04-04 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.